Week 5: Yes, It is Already Week 5

Somehow the NFL season already a quarter over. This should mean we have a good guess as to which teams are for real and which teams are terrible. Even more important, we should have some idea of which teams appear to be solid on the surface, but really are made of glass and are just waiting to shatter. I don't know the second part, but I do know that there are some good teams (Packers, Pats, Bengals, Broncos, Cardinals (I think)) and some really bad teams (Bears, 49ers, Dolphins, the NFC East, the AFC South, Jameis Winston).

Last week was my best week of the season, so naturally the only real bets I made were teasers that all lost. This week I’ll respond by making more bets and probably going 3-10.

Last Week: 9-5
Season: 30-30-1
Lock of the Week: 3-1

Home team in CAPS

Jaguars (+3) over BUCCANEERS
A battle for the best team in Florida? It is possible with the way Miami has soiled its pants this season.

TITANS (2.5) over Bills
When you have a pretty week offense to begin with it is hard to deal with a slew of injuries. Buffalo needs this game to prove it is not the same team it has been for the last several years and I think they’ll be able to get the win but the line is somewhat suspiciously low, leading me to bet on the Titans.

RAVENS (-6.5) over Browns
Lock of the Week
Seems like the time for the Ravens to rattle off a few wins, perhaps by large margins before reminding us that they aren’t very good again once they get back into the playoff picture.

FALCONS (-7.5) over Redskins
I don’t think it is possible at this moment in time for Washington to play back-to-back good football games. Also, Atlanta is by far the best team they will have played to this point in the season.

Bears (+9) over CHIEFS
I do not like picking the Bears. I’ve suggested they are the worst team in the league and think that still may be true, but Andy Reid by 9 seems like a lot of points.

EAGLES (-5) over Saints
If New Orleans can barely beat Branden Weeden in the Superdome, they probably can’t beat anyone away from the Superdome.

PACKERS (-9) over Rams
Green Bay is one of three teams 4-0 against the spread this year. Keep riding the hot hand.

BENGALS (-3) over Seahawks
Cincinnati is another one of those teams. And Seattle has been struggle street on the road to this point.

Cardinals (-2.5) over LIONS
Devastating loss for the Lions last Monday, but the Cardinals should rebound here after a poor performance last week.

Patriots (-8.5) over COWBOYS
Broncos (-4.5) over RAIDERS
Still probably the best two teams in the AFC, despite the fact that one of the two legendary QBs can barely throw his keys onto the coffee table.

GIANTS (-7) over 49ers
I don’t even think the Giants are very good, there is just no reason to pick the 49ers to do anything good. They are completely useless on offense. But hey, another great Sunday Night game. Good work NBC.

Steelers (+3) over CHARGERS
One of the worst rush defenses is favored against the best running back in the league, so I gotta pick Pittsburgh but there is a solid chance Mike Tomlin messes it up. His bungling of the Ravens game last week was on a Brad Childress/Romeo Crennel level.