My head hurts so I’m just going to get right into the picks this week.
Last Week: 8-6-2
Season: 93-76-7
Lock of the Week: 7-5
Home team in CAPS
Saints (+3.5) over FALCONS
I haven’t given up on my belief that the Saints are still good enough to make a playoff push. I probably should, but I haven’t.
BEARS (-3.5) over Seahawks
LOCK OF THE WEEK
Never take Seattle on the road.
PACKERS (-8) over Vikings
Also stay away from Minnesota on the road.
49ers (-7) over RAMS
They tied three weeks ago, I can’t imagine San Francisco will allow for it to be close again.
JETS (-4.5) over Cardinals
Who is on the Ryan Lindley bandwagon? Maybe Ryan Lindley, but that’s probably about it.
Panthers (-3) over CHIEFS
Maybe in 2008 deciding between Brady Quinn and Matt Cassel sounded like a good problem. In 2012 it sounds like having to pick the instrument of your own death.
LIONS (-4.5) over Colts
Lions keep getting really close to winning and the Colts are certainly not as good as the Packers or Texans. If Detroit does nothing else this season they will likely change the rule about throwing a challenge flag on an automatic review play making it unreviewable after that Thanksgiving disaster. And if you don’t know what I’m talking about, it is for the best, it is needlessly complicated and unfair.
Jaguars (+6) over BILLS
Line is just a bit too high for my tastes.
Patriots (-7.5) over DOLPHINS
New England seems to have entered the part of the season where they destroy everyone they play.
Texans (-6) over TITANS
Houston has not been impressive in the last couple weeks, but on the other hand Tennessee is Tennessee.
Buccaneers (+7) over BRONCOS
Tampa is legit; I’ll take them with seven points over most anyone.
RAVENS vs Steelers
There is no line for this game because no one knows if Roethlisberger is going to play or not. If he plays I bet the Steelers win by 3, if he doesn’t I bet the Steelers lose by 3.
Browns (even) over RAIDERS
The AFC West is a complete joke.
Bengals (-2.5) over CHARGERS
See above
COWBOYS (-10) over Eagles
How many points are enough points to pick the Eagles again? It would seem 10 is not enough.
REDSKINS (+2.5) over Giants
The Giants are more talented, but I’m hopeful of big things from RG3 in his first Monday night game.
Thursday, November 29, 2012
Wednesday, November 21, 2012
Week 12 NFL Picks
It’s Thanksgiving. The one day of the year where NFL games on Thursday is not completely stupid. Of course because Thursday games are the norm on Thanksgiving, we now get three of them. It probably won’t be long before they shove a fourth Thanksgiving Day game down our throats. Either played in London and starting at 10am or played at midnight in Japan or something stupid like that. I’d wager that right now a team of NFL scientists are researching the Nightmare on Elm Street movies and trying to figure out a way to show games in our dreams, obviously for a fee.
Last Week: 7-7
Season: 85-70-5
Lock of the Week: 6-5
Home team in CAPS
Texans (-3) over LIONS
Home teams have more of an advantage on Thursday games than they normally do, but even giving the Lions an extra couple points three is too small of a line. They really haven’t proven to be good at much of anything this year. It even took them until their eighth game to realize, let’s just throw it to Calvin Johnson all the time.
Redskins (+3) over COWBOYS
Both teams have been fairly poor against the spread lately and Redskins-Cowboys games are almost always close so I’ll take the points.
Patriots (-7) over JETS
The Jets played well last week. I’m going to assume that means they’ve used up all of their ‘good’ and will go back to having almost zero offensive contributors.
BENGALS (-8) over Raiders
Remember when Oakland won two straight games and a few people were complimenting how they’d turned things around. Those two games were against the Jaguars and Chiefs, I need say no more.
Steelers (-1) over BROWNS
I know Charlie Batch is starting at quarterback for Pittsburgh, but don’t forget the entire Browns starting lineup is starting for Cleveland.
COLTS (-3) over Bills
So Indy is nowhere near as good as the Patriots, but they still might be the sixth or seventh best team in the AFC. This of course means that either the Colts or Bengals will likely be playing a first round playoff game on the road in New England or Denver. The line will be 10+ and it probably will not be high enough.
Broncos (-10) over CHIEFS
Kansas City has played three games in which it was not completely useless. In their other seven games they have lost by double digits. For the Chiefs to cover a spread the other team has to be looking past them before the game even starts and get caught in a trap.
Titans (-3) over JAGUARS
There is one reason Jacksonville is better than the Chiefs, and that is because they can at least cover the occasional spread. Of course this game is at home, where they lose by an average of 17.8 points per game this season.
BEARS (even) over Vikings
Don’t know if Jay Cutler or Percy Harvin is playing, obviously their status would influence the line and influence my pick, but without knowing for sure the Bears are the pick. Their entire offense was manhandled by the 49ers, but I doubt that will happen two weeks in a row. Plus, the Vikings have struggled on the road and Chicago’s defense didn’t force any turnovers last week, so they are due for about four.
Falcons (-1) over BUCCANEERS
Tampa has been red hot from a betting perspective, but I think it’s time to stop putting money on the Bucs. This game will likely be close, but at only one point you have to just pick the team you think will win the game and that’s Atlanta.
DOLPHINS (+3) over Seahawks
Seattle is a beast at home, but they are nothing on the road.
Last Week: 7-7
Season: 85-70-5
Lock of the Week: 6-5
Home team in CAPS
Texans (-3) over LIONS
Home teams have more of an advantage on Thursday games than they normally do, but even giving the Lions an extra couple points three is too small of a line. They really haven’t proven to be good at much of anything this year. It even took them until their eighth game to realize, let’s just throw it to Calvin Johnson all the time.
Redskins (+3) over COWBOYS
Both teams have been fairly poor against the spread lately and Redskins-Cowboys games are almost always close so I’ll take the points.
Patriots (-7) over JETS
The Jets played well last week. I’m going to assume that means they’ve used up all of their ‘good’ and will go back to having almost zero offensive contributors.
BENGALS (-8) over Raiders
Remember when Oakland won two straight games and a few people were complimenting how they’d turned things around. Those two games were against the Jaguars and Chiefs, I need say no more.
Steelers (-1) over BROWNS
I know Charlie Batch is starting at quarterback for Pittsburgh, but don’t forget the entire Browns starting lineup is starting for Cleveland.
COLTS (-3) over Bills
So Indy is nowhere near as good as the Patriots, but they still might be the sixth or seventh best team in the AFC. This of course means that either the Colts or Bengals will likely be playing a first round playoff game on the road in New England or Denver. The line will be 10+ and it probably will not be high enough.
Broncos (-10) over CHIEFS
Kansas City has played three games in which it was not completely useless. In their other seven games they have lost by double digits. For the Chiefs to cover a spread the other team has to be looking past them before the game even starts and get caught in a trap.
Titans (-3) over JAGUARS
There is one reason Jacksonville is better than the Chiefs, and that is because they can at least cover the occasional spread. Of course this game is at home, where they lose by an average of 17.8 points per game this season.
BEARS (even) over Vikings
Don’t know if Jay Cutler or Percy Harvin is playing, obviously their status would influence the line and influence my pick, but without knowing for sure the Bears are the pick. Their entire offense was manhandled by the 49ers, but I doubt that will happen two weeks in a row. Plus, the Vikings have struggled on the road and Chicago’s defense didn’t force any turnovers last week, so they are due for about four.
Falcons (-1) over BUCCANEERS
Tampa has been red hot from a betting perspective, but I think it’s time to stop putting money on the Bucs. This game will likely be close, but at only one point you have to just pick the team you think will win the game and that’s Atlanta.
DOLPHINS (+3) over Seahawks
Seattle is a beast at home, but they are nothing on the road.
Ravens (-1) over CHARGERS
Lock of the Week
People have seen San Diego play right? They are not a good football team. Sure, the Ravens have had their struggles on the road this season, but this being a one-point spread makes no sense to me. Philip Rivers is all sorts of geared up to throw an interception at the worst possible time.
SAINTS (+2) over 49ers
Doesn’t really matter who the 49ers put out at quarterback, I don’t think they can keep up with the Saints in New Orleans.
CARDINALS (-2.5) over Rams
Sure, Arizona is probably starting someone named Ryan Lindley, but Beanie Wells is back and even if he does nothing he seemed to have some sort of magical impact on their win-loss record last season and they haven’t won without him this year.
Packers (+2.5) over GIANTS
They Giants must get us all thinking they suck before they can sneak into the playoffs at 9-7 thanks to a bad NFC East and make it at least to the NFC Championship.
Panthers (+2.5) over EAGLES
I had the luxury of watching Philadelphia play last week and let me say, they are like some sort of machine made for sucking right now. No one (except maybe the Chiefs) should be an underdog to the Eagles right now.
Lock of the Week
People have seen San Diego play right? They are not a good football team. Sure, the Ravens have had their struggles on the road this season, but this being a one-point spread makes no sense to me. Philip Rivers is all sorts of geared up to throw an interception at the worst possible time.
SAINTS (+2) over 49ers
Doesn’t really matter who the 49ers put out at quarterback, I don’t think they can keep up with the Saints in New Orleans.
CARDINALS (-2.5) over Rams
Sure, Arizona is probably starting someone named Ryan Lindley, but Beanie Wells is back and even if he does nothing he seemed to have some sort of magical impact on their win-loss record last season and they haven’t won without him this year.
Packers (+2.5) over GIANTS
They Giants must get us all thinking they suck before they can sneak into the playoffs at 9-7 thanks to a bad NFC East and make it at least to the NFC Championship.
Panthers (+2.5) over EAGLES
I had the luxury of watching Philadelphia play last week and let me say, they are like some sort of machine made for sucking right now. No one (except maybe the Chiefs) should be an underdog to the Eagles right now.
Friday, November 16, 2012
Week 11 Picks
Woo, off to a 1-0 start! Now, let me ruin it.
Last Night: 1-0
Last Week: 9-5
Season: 78-63-5
Lock of the Week: 6-4
Home team in CAPS
REDSKINS (-3.5) over Eagles
You know the Eagles are bad when I’m picking the Redskins to cover as a favorite. Obviously this game will come down to one team making some sort of stupid mistake, and right now, no one makes more mistakes in the fourth quarter than the Eagles.
Packers (-3.5) over LIONS
Detroit has only played three games at home this season, so it’s hard to know if they really have any sort of home field advantage or not, but it probably doesn’t matter. Green Bay has failed to be impressive this season, but they’ve been good and look like they have greatness in them; meanwhile, the Lions just look like a big chunk of average.
FALCONS (-10) over Cardinals
Atlanta plays a lot of close games, but Arizona is 0-5-1 against the spread in their last six games, so I’m not going to pick them.
Last Night: 1-0
Last Week: 9-5
Season: 78-63-5
Lock of the Week: 6-4
Home team in CAPS
REDSKINS (-3.5) over Eagles
You know the Eagles are bad when I’m picking the Redskins to cover as a favorite. Obviously this game will come down to one team making some sort of stupid mistake, and right now, no one makes more mistakes in the fourth quarter than the Eagles.
Packers (-3.5) over LIONS
Detroit has only played three games at home this season, so it’s hard to know if they really have any sort of home field advantage or not, but it probably doesn’t matter. Green Bay has failed to be impressive this season, but they’ve been good and look like they have greatness in them; meanwhile, the Lions just look like a big chunk of average.
FALCONS (-10) over Cardinals
Atlanta plays a lot of close games, but Arizona is 0-5-1 against the spread in their last six games, so I’m not going to pick them.
Buccaneers (-1.5) over PANTHERS
I wasn’t sure at the start of the season, but it appears Tampa is back to their pattern of being a good team every other year. They are 7-2 against the spread this year, which is tied for best in the NFL with the Texans.
COWBOYS (-7.5) over Browns
Tony Romo is one of the best quarterbacks in the league in November, with a 20-3 record that is the best of any quarterback in the Super Bowl era. Unfortunately for him and Cowboys fans, the month of December still exists.
RAMS (-3) over Jets
LOCK OF THE WEEK
We all should have known that if things went bad for the Jets, they’d go real bad real fast. That’s what happens with a cocky, brash team that talks a lot. If they aren’t playing good and talking trash they will start to eat each other.
Colts (+9) over PATRIOTS
Just seems like a few too many points for two teams with the same record. Sure, the Colts have played a lot of garbage teams, but a nine-point line is giving them no respect at all.
Jaguars (+15.5) over TEXANS
Yes, Jacksonville is comically awful, but holy shit, that is so many points. Oddly, the Jags are much more terrible at home than on the road. On the road they have yet to lose by double digits, so I’m hoping they can keep that up.
Bengals (-3.5) over CHIEFS
Kansas City almost got that win on Monday. That must have been nice for them.
Saints (-5) over RAIDERS
I would not want to play the Saints right now; they are going to close strong.
BRONCOS (-8) over Chargers
Might this be the end for Norv Turner? Only somewhere between two and six years too late. Gotta say, part of me will certainly miss the looks of a sad, disappointed, overwhelmed Norv on the sidelines next to Philip Rivers temper tantrum time.
Ravens (-3.5) over STEELERS
People like to talk about how the Steelers still have a good shot without Roethlisberger. People tend to be wrong.
I wasn’t sure at the start of the season, but it appears Tampa is back to their pattern of being a good team every other year. They are 7-2 against the spread this year, which is tied for best in the NFL with the Texans.
COWBOYS (-7.5) over Browns
Tony Romo is one of the best quarterbacks in the league in November, with a 20-3 record that is the best of any quarterback in the Super Bowl era. Unfortunately for him and Cowboys fans, the month of December still exists.
RAMS (-3) over Jets
LOCK OF THE WEEK
We all should have known that if things went bad for the Jets, they’d go real bad real fast. That’s what happens with a cocky, brash team that talks a lot. If they aren’t playing good and talking trash they will start to eat each other.
Colts (+9) over PATRIOTS
Just seems like a few too many points for two teams with the same record. Sure, the Colts have played a lot of garbage teams, but a nine-point line is giving them no respect at all.
Jaguars (+15.5) over TEXANS
Yes, Jacksonville is comically awful, but holy shit, that is so many points. Oddly, the Jags are much more terrible at home than on the road. On the road they have yet to lose by double digits, so I’m hoping they can keep that up.
Bengals (-3.5) over CHIEFS
Kansas City almost got that win on Monday. That must have been nice for them.
Saints (-5) over RAIDERS
I would not want to play the Saints right now; they are going to close strong.
BRONCOS (-8) over Chargers
Might this be the end for Norv Turner? Only somewhere between two and six years too late. Gotta say, part of me will certainly miss the looks of a sad, disappointed, overwhelmed Norv on the sidelines next to Philip Rivers temper tantrum time.
Ravens (-3.5) over STEELERS
People like to talk about how the Steelers still have a good shot without Roethlisberger. People tend to be wrong.
Bears (+5) over 49ERS
If only because I’m not sure that five total points will be scored in this game.
If only because I’m not sure that five total points will be scored in this game.
Thursday, November 15, 2012
Week 11 Thursday Night Game
I can tell I am not going to be in any sort of mood to write at any time on Thursday after having spent the last eight hours writing pretty much non stop, so I'm just going to post my pick for the NFL's Thursday night overreach for airtime.
Last Week: 9-5
Season: 77-63-5
Lock of the Week: 6-4
BILLS (-2.5) over Dolphins
Has there been a single Thursday night game in which anyone who is not a fan of either team said, "I've gotta watch Thursday Night Football this week! Look at that matchup!" On the plus side it is a Dolphins game, which I guess means even in Buffalo there is an outside chance this guy could show up again.
Other picks to come tomorrow ... probably.
Last Week: 9-5
Season: 77-63-5
Lock of the Week: 6-4
BILLS (-2.5) over Dolphins
Has there been a single Thursday night game in which anyone who is not a fan of either team said, "I've gotta watch Thursday Night Football this week! Look at that matchup!" On the plus side it is a Dolphins game, which I guess means even in Buffalo there is an outside chance this guy could show up again.
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This fan will go 'unforgotten' as well |
Thursday, November 8, 2012
Week 10 NFL Picks
I’ll tell you the best part about this NFL season – the misery of other teams, particularly the Eagles and Cowboys. With the whole league coming across as somewhat boring this season due to an overabundance of parity and a lack of any truly great teams, we are forced to look elsewhere for entertainment. For me, that entertainment comes from the Cowboys clueless play week in and week out and the utter embarrassment that is the Philadelphia Eagles.
I know people have been up and down on Andy Reid over the past several years, but this year it seems like every single Philly fan would spit in Reid’s face if they saw him in the street. Also how quickly Vick fell out of favor is immensely entertaining. The worst part about Week 10 of the season is that the Eagles and Cowboys play one another, meaning one of them will likely come out with a win.
As far as last week goes, it appears every single person who gambled on NFL games did well. In fact it was one of the worst Sundays ever for Vegas. So my 12-2 record is much less impressive than it actually looks. Of course I didn’t make any bets with real money last week and I’m sure this all just means there is going to be a week in which everyone does horrible, or what we call “normal” by my standards.
Last Week: 12-2
Season: 68-58-5
Lock of the Week: 5-4
Home team in CAPS
Colts (-3.5) over JAGUARS
I can’t imagine that Jacksonville can beat the same team twice in one season. I question if they can even win twice in the season overall. Granted the Colts are still weak on the road, but I’ll give the rally behind Chuck Pagano boost at least one more week.
Bills (+11) over PATRIOTS
If for no other reason that any time this season it seems like you should be ready to put your faith in the Pats they turn around with an uninspired performance.
Giants (-4) over BENGALS
There is no way that New York’s passing offense continues to be as horrible as it has been the past two weeks.
BUCCANEERS (-3) over Chargers
Lock of the Week
The Chargers last two wins both came over Kansas City. I feel nothing more needs to be said about them. But I will add this; every time I watch Norv Turner coach I come out very confused as to why he is still employed.
Broncos (-4) over PANTHERS
If this new Peyton Manning guy keeps winning people are going to forget about Tim Tebow.
DOLPHINS (-6) over Titans
This is tough because Miami doesn’t really blow people out (the Jets were the one exception), but the Titans are simply terrible.
RAVENS (-7.5) over Raiders
Again, I don’t want to have to trust Baltimore to cover this points, but it’s better than the alternative of trusting Oakland to do anything. Doug Martin rushed for over 250 yards against them last week; it just so happens everyone always compares Doug Martin to Ray Rice, so you have to expect the Ravens will rush the ball 40 times.
SAINTS (+2.5) over Falcons
Atlanta is not going undefeated, also I expect the Saints to make some sort of mini-run to get everyone talking about them again at some point this season and now seems like a good time.
Lions (+2) over VIKINGS
It seems like Detroit is slowly putting things together and the Vikings not named Adrian Peterson have forgotten how to play well. Plus there is a chance Percy Harvin doesn’t play, in which case they really can’t do anything on offense except give the ball to Purple Jesus.
SEAHAWKS (-6) over Jets
Hmm, the Seahawks are 4-0 at home and the Jets are a hot mess with no offensive weapons whosoever. Tough one.
Cowboys (-1.5) over EAGLES
I guess I’ll take clueless and unlucky over dead in the water and already quit for the season.
49ERS (-11.5) over Rams
Can any NFL team like playing in London as the home team? It surely didn’t work out for the Rams. At least this game will count as a road loss.
Texans (+1) over BEARS
Chicago has been among the most impressive teams in the NFL, but here are some fun stats. Their first eight opponents have a combined record of 27-39; their final eight have a combined record of 42-27. Chicago also ranks 29th in passing yards per game. Jay Cutler’s QB rating in the first half is 61.7, which is worst in the NFL. Also, Charles Tillman, the Bears MVP at this point, might miss the game to attend the birth of his child. So, I guess I’m saying they might not end up at 14-2.
STEELERS (-12.5) over Chiefs
I can’t really think of a way in which I could convince myself to pick the Chiefs.
I know people have been up and down on Andy Reid over the past several years, but this year it seems like every single Philly fan would spit in Reid’s face if they saw him in the street. Also how quickly Vick fell out of favor is immensely entertaining. The worst part about Week 10 of the season is that the Eagles and Cowboys play one another, meaning one of them will likely come out with a win.
As far as last week goes, it appears every single person who gambled on NFL games did well. In fact it was one of the worst Sundays ever for Vegas. So my 12-2 record is much less impressive than it actually looks. Of course I didn’t make any bets with real money last week and I’m sure this all just means there is going to be a week in which everyone does horrible, or what we call “normal” by my standards.
Last Week: 12-2
Season: 68-58-5
Lock of the Week: 5-4
Home team in CAPS
Colts (-3.5) over JAGUARS
I can’t imagine that Jacksonville can beat the same team twice in one season. I question if they can even win twice in the season overall. Granted the Colts are still weak on the road, but I’ll give the rally behind Chuck Pagano boost at least one more week.
Bills (+11) over PATRIOTS
If for no other reason that any time this season it seems like you should be ready to put your faith in the Pats they turn around with an uninspired performance.
Giants (-4) over BENGALS
There is no way that New York’s passing offense continues to be as horrible as it has been the past two weeks.
BUCCANEERS (-3) over Chargers
Lock of the Week
The Chargers last two wins both came over Kansas City. I feel nothing more needs to be said about them. But I will add this; every time I watch Norv Turner coach I come out very confused as to why he is still employed.
Broncos (-4) over PANTHERS
If this new Peyton Manning guy keeps winning people are going to forget about Tim Tebow.
DOLPHINS (-6) over Titans
This is tough because Miami doesn’t really blow people out (the Jets were the one exception), but the Titans are simply terrible.
RAVENS (-7.5) over Raiders
Again, I don’t want to have to trust Baltimore to cover this points, but it’s better than the alternative of trusting Oakland to do anything. Doug Martin rushed for over 250 yards against them last week; it just so happens everyone always compares Doug Martin to Ray Rice, so you have to expect the Ravens will rush the ball 40 times.
SAINTS (+2.5) over Falcons
Atlanta is not going undefeated, also I expect the Saints to make some sort of mini-run to get everyone talking about them again at some point this season and now seems like a good time.
Lions (+2) over VIKINGS
It seems like Detroit is slowly putting things together and the Vikings not named Adrian Peterson have forgotten how to play well. Plus there is a chance Percy Harvin doesn’t play, in which case they really can’t do anything on offense except give the ball to Purple Jesus.
SEAHAWKS (-6) over Jets
Hmm, the Seahawks are 4-0 at home and the Jets are a hot mess with no offensive weapons whosoever. Tough one.
Cowboys (-1.5) over EAGLES
I guess I’ll take clueless and unlucky over dead in the water and already quit for the season.
49ERS (-11.5) over Rams
Can any NFL team like playing in London as the home team? It surely didn’t work out for the Rams. At least this game will count as a road loss.
Expect more of this coming soon |
Chicago has been among the most impressive teams in the NFL, but here are some fun stats. Their first eight opponents have a combined record of 27-39; their final eight have a combined record of 42-27. Chicago also ranks 29th in passing yards per game. Jay Cutler’s QB rating in the first half is 61.7, which is worst in the NFL. Also, Charles Tillman, the Bears MVP at this point, might miss the game to attend the birth of his child. So, I guess I’m saying they might not end up at 14-2.
STEELERS (-12.5) over Chiefs
I can’t really think of a way in which I could convince myself to pick the Chiefs.
Friday, November 2, 2012
Week 9 Picks
You’d think only being employed part-time I’d have no problem finding the time to make football picks every week, but I’m also forgetful and lazy. So these are going to have to be quick again.
Last Week: 8-6
Season: 56-56-5
Lock of the Week: 4-4
Home team in CAPS
CHARGERS (+8) over Chiefs
Sure this game already happened, but I picked San Diego. The only question left about Kansas City is do they have the top picked locked up or will Jacksonville give them a run for most awful?
Broncos (-3.5) over BENGALS
It appears that Peyton Manning is still good at football. Although to be fair his last two games were against the Saints and Chargers who can make nearly anyone look good. Regardless, I’m still taking the Broncos.
Cardinals (+10.5) over PACKERS
If Green Bay can’t beat Jacksonville by 10 at home, I don’t know why they’d beat the Cardinals by more than 10.
COLTS (+2.5) over Dolphins
Miami has won three straight games in which it has been outgained in both rushing and passing yards. That is not a sustainable way to win.
Ravens (-3.5) over BROWNS
Baltimore has looked mediocre at best over their past four games, but I don’t see how the Browns keep this within five points.
TEXANS (-10) over Bills
Arian Foster might rush for 200 yards.
Panthers (+3) over REDSKINS
How many times will the announcers compare Cam Newton and RG3? There are two media takes to these two. One, did you know they are both young, athletic black quarterbacks? So they must be the same person and compared all the time. And two, hey, did you know they are not the same person and are actually pretty different QBs? Of course by pointing out number two it makes the assumption everyone is dumb enough that they are thinking they are the same to begin with.
Lions (-4) over JAGAURS
Jacksonville is not giving up the first pick that easy Kansas City.
Bears (-3.5) over TITANS
Despite having an offense ranked near the bottom in passing yards and first down yardage, the Bears could be the best team in the NFC.
SEAHAWKS (-4.5) over Vikings
Seattle is just a different team at home.
Buccaneers (+1.5) over Raiders
Oakland has won back-to-back games! But they were against the Jags and Chiefs, so that winning streak is meaningless.
GIANTS (-3) over Steelers
I begrudgingly admit that the Giants are very good.
FALCONS (-4) over Cowboys
Last Week: 8-6
Season: 56-56-5
Lock of the Week: 4-4
Home team in CAPS
CHARGERS (+8) over Chiefs
Sure this game already happened, but I picked San Diego. The only question left about Kansas City is do they have the top picked locked up or will Jacksonville give them a run for most awful?
Broncos (-3.5) over BENGALS
It appears that Peyton Manning is still good at football. Although to be fair his last two games were against the Saints and Chargers who can make nearly anyone look good. Regardless, I’m still taking the Broncos.
Cardinals (+10.5) over PACKERS
If Green Bay can’t beat Jacksonville by 10 at home, I don’t know why they’d beat the Cardinals by more than 10.
COLTS (+2.5) over Dolphins
Miami has won three straight games in which it has been outgained in both rushing and passing yards. That is not a sustainable way to win.
Ravens (-3.5) over BROWNS
Baltimore has looked mediocre at best over their past four games, but I don’t see how the Browns keep this within five points.
TEXANS (-10) over Bills
Arian Foster might rush for 200 yards.
Panthers (+3) over REDSKINS
How many times will the announcers compare Cam Newton and RG3? There are two media takes to these two. One, did you know they are both young, athletic black quarterbacks? So they must be the same person and compared all the time. And two, hey, did you know they are not the same person and are actually pretty different QBs? Of course by pointing out number two it makes the assumption everyone is dumb enough that they are thinking they are the same to begin with.
Lions (-4) over JAGAURS
Jacksonville is not giving up the first pick that easy Kansas City.
Bears (-3.5) over TITANS
Despite having an offense ranked near the bottom in passing yards and first down yardage, the Bears could be the best team in the NFC.
SEAHAWKS (-4.5) over Vikings
Seattle is just a different team at home.
Buccaneers (+1.5) over Raiders
Oakland has won back-to-back games! But they were against the Jags and Chiefs, so that winning streak is meaningless.
GIANTS (-3) over Steelers
I begrudgingly admit that the Giants are very good.
FALCONS (-4) over Cowboys
Lock of the WeekIt’ll be fun to see in what way the Cowboys blow this game. They are really inventive when it comes to losing.
SAINTS (-3) over Eagles
Everything is falling apart in Philly. I don’t think Andy Reid has any supporters left.
SAINTS (-3) over Eagles
Everything is falling apart in Philly. I don’t think Andy Reid has any supporters left.
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