Let’s get into it.
Last week: 9-6-1
Lock of the Week: 3-11-1
Season: 101-115-9
Home team in CAPS
Dolphins (-2.5) over BILLS
Add the Dolphins to the growing list of teams I have no idea what to expect from. Could they make the playoff and win a game or two? Sure! Could they drop their last two games to the Bills and Jets? Absolutely! Could one of their players drive another one to leave the team and open up a multi-week discourse about the nature of bullying and sports that is nearly forgotten after a month? Wait, this one already happened.
PANTHERS (-3) over Saints
Not to be trusted outside of New Orleans – girls excited to flash you in exchange for beads, Crawfish Etouffee, Delta blues, and the Saints.
Cowboys (-3) over REDSKINS
I’ll take December Romo over anything Redskins related in 2013.
RAMS (-5) over Buccaneers
The Rams seem like a team with promise, but sadly for them they are in the best division in football. Also, somehow no one has any idea if Sam Bradford is any good or not yet.
CHIEFS (-6.5) over Colts
Both teams are playing for playoff seeding, but there is a lot more on the line for the Chiefs, who could be first, second, or fifth. The Colts are likely the three or four-seed with a slight, but unlikely chance at the two seed. Good chance this game is replayed in two weeks in Indy.
JETS (-2.5) over Browns
Lock of the WeekI’d say this is a strong bet, except for the fact that I’ve made it my lock of the week, which all but guarantees that it is a terrible bet. The Browns have lost eight of their last nine (although everyone knows they deserved to beat the Patriots) and the Jets are 5-2 at home.
BENGALS (-7.5) over Vikings
The Vikings have covered the spread in their last four games and in six of their last seven, but the Bengals are undefeated at home, both straight up and against the spread.
TEXANS (+10.5) over Broncos
Double digit favorites on the road is a little too much. Plus, we are a Texans win away from the Redskins having the worst record in the NFL, so destiny might push them forward here.
JAGUARS (+5) over Titans
I can’t muster up the energy to write anything about this game.
SEAHAWKS (-10.5) over Cardinals
I don’t like this line at all and believe the Cardinals are the better pick, but for no reason whatsoever, I think the Seahawks will cover. And we should go ahead and start talking about this right now - in 4 years when we find out that the Seahawks had a doctor supplying the entire team PEDs, what do we do about them winning the Super Bowl this year? Does it still count?
LIONS (-9) over Giants
Remember that mid-season run the Giants made when it looked like they’d get into the playoff picture? Thankfully all that mess is over and Eli Manning has gone back to being Captain Interception.
Raiders (+10) over CHARGERS
San Diego has been looking strong lately, my instincts tell me it is time for them to be terrible. Perhaps no longer a fair statement in the post-Norv era, but they have to prove it to me first.
Steelers @ PACKERS
There is no line for this game because no one is sure if Aaron Rodgers is going to play. If he plays, they’ll cover, if he does not, they will not.
RAVENS (-2.5) over Patriots
No one should trust the Patriots on the road. The Ravens will win this game, drop the Patriots to the three-seed, but then lose to the Bengals next week and have to go to Foxboro to play the Pats in the first round of the playoffs, where they will proceed to lose by 19 points.
EAGLES (-3) over Bears
The Eagles will rush for 300 yards and the Bears will pass for 400 yards. Should be fun.
Falcons (+13) over 49ERS
I bet ESPN is pretty annoyed that the Falcons were so disappointing this year. This game was likely intended to set the tone for the NFC favorite, whoops.
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