Friday, January 16, 2015

Conference Championships: Inevitable Smug Bowl Coming

So the bad news is that I went 1-3 last week and now the best winning percentage I can have for the playoffs is 55%. But the good news (for me) is that despite my picks on here I still managed to win money though teasers, halftime lines and moneyline bets.

Last Week: 1-3
Playoffs: 3-5


Home team in CAPS

SEATTLE (-7.5) over Packers

Against the team that allowed the seventh most passing yards all season, fifth most yards per attempt and ranked 21st in defensive DVOA - AND at home, Rodgers looked good, but certainly not great. The Seahawks allow the least yards passing, third fewest yards per attempt and have the top ranked DVOA defense; so it might be a struggle for Rodgers to carry Green Bay to a win. And make no mistake, for the Packers to win, Rodgers would have to carry them.

"Remember that time when..."
Remember when the Seahawks were 3-3 and it looked like they might have fallen back to earth, only we all knew they were probably still going to be in the Super Bowl and it was just a matter of time before they found their stride? I don’t really have a point here, just remember? Probably would have been smart to make a futures bet on them at that point in time.


Final score prediction: Seahawks 34, Packers 20


PATRIOTS (-6.5) over Colts

Andrew Luck and the Colts have had the fortune (I will not make a Luck pun) of being able to play perennial playoff duds Andy Dalton and bad leg noodle arm Peyton Manning. I don’t think they’ll run into an offense that struggles to score this week with Brady and the Pats.

Eventually the fact that the Colts just aren't a very good football team will catch up with them. I expect Belichick to make life a living hell for Luck and like Rodgers in the NFC, Luck will need to carry his team with a great performance for them to have a chance. I’m predicting a semi close score, but I wouldn't be surprised if this one was over by half time either.

Final score prediction: Patriots 27, Colts 17


So yes, I’m predicting a Super Bowl with the top seed in each conference in what will certainly be one of the smuggest coaching battles of all time. I mean just look at these assholes. If it weren't for betting don’t know how I’d cheer for one. I mean, just look at them. It's like Aliens vs. Predator, whoever wins, we lose.

Smug Pete Carroll Smug Bill Belichick
vs.

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