Friday, January 17, 2014

Conference Championships

It’s past 4 p.m. on a Saturday, so I’m not going to waste my time or your time with an intro.

Last Week: 2-1-1
Playoffs?: 3-4-1
Playoff Lock of the Week: 1-1

New England Patriots at Denver Broncos (-5)

It has gotten to the point that making jokes about how much analysts and TV commentators like to talk about Tom Brady and Peyton Manning is just as old and overdone as all the praise itself. So, I won’t get into that. They are both good quarterbacks and they both must have great tasting dicks, because announcers can’t get enough.

Brady and the Patriots have the upper hand on Manning’s teams historically, including a win earlier this season. Both teams will be missing a key impact player from the last meeting, with Gronkowski out for the Pats and Von Miller out for the Broncos. Both of those guys had a huge impact during their last meeting.

Since that game the Patriots have gotten significantly better at running the ball, while the Broncos running attack has cooled a bit, but the ground attacks have a similar chance of succeeding on Sunday. Ultimately, I don’t know how either team is going to stop the other, particularly with all of the defensive injuries both sides are facing, which likely means the final score will somehow end up 14-10 or something.

On paper the Broncos are the better team, but it’s been two years, so it might be time for the Pats to make another Super Bowl and ensure that everyone continues to hate them forever.

Final score prediction: Broncos 30, Patriots 27

San Francisco 49ers at Seattle Seahawks (-3.5)
Lock of the Week? (It's real dumb to have a lock of the week with only two games, but I've got to give the public what they want - my lock of the week curse).

The fact that most exemplifies what this game will be about is that the over/under is set at 39.5. That is crazy low, and rightfully so as these are two of, if not the two best defenses in the league.

The Seahawks have dominated the 49ers in Seattle over the past two seasons, beating them by a combined score of 71-16. But Russell Wilson has regressed in the second half of the season while Colin Kaepernick has found his game and the 49ers defense is playing its best football of the season.

It is hard to imagine that anyone can go into Seattle and win, and I don’t think there is any chance I would have thought about picking the 49ers had the Cardinals not gone into Seattle and won in week 16, but they did. Now these teams seem so evenly matched with the 49ers having the advantage of momentum and the Seahawks having the advantage of home field. It likely will come down to turnovers or some crazy play (a defensive or special teams score or someone going for it on 4th and goal.)

In the end, I think the 49ers are going to keep taking one step forward each season.

Final score prediction: 49ers 18, Seahawks 17

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